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D2 · THE ENGINE UNDER REAL WAGES

Labor productivity growth, year over year

2.80
STALE ROBUST DRS 95 quarterly as of 2026-01-01

This tile is stale: the value shown is the last one the source published, never a fabricated current number.

The full history

1948 high 7.17 · low -2.17 · now 2.80 · 12 recessions shaded 2026

How it is read

What it measures
the engine under real wages
Confidence
ROBUST : a primary official series, mechanically reported.
Reliability (DRS)
DRS 95: Computed: OPHNFB YoY (output per hour, nonfarm business). The long-run positive: everything else is downstream of this. BLS-produced.

Where it comes from

DERIVED ↗ Every number on this site is reproducible from this primary source.

What it read at past stress points

Lehman, Sep 2008 1.54 · CALM
Q4-2018 selloff 0.45 · CALM
Curve inversion, Aug 2019 2.42 · CALM
COVID crash, Mar 2020 2.29 · CALM

Questions it helps answer