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M1 · VALUATION ALTITUDE

Corporate equities to GDP (the Buffett indicator)

218.14
STALE ROBUST DRS 95 quarterly as of 2026-01-01

This tile is stale: the value shown is the last one the source published, never a fabricated current number.

The full history

1947 high 228.70 · low 32.22 · now 218.14 · 12 recessions shaded 2026

How it is read

What it measures
valuation altitude
Confidence
ROBUST : a primary official series, mechanically reported.
Reliability (DRS)
DRS 95: Computed: nonfinancial corporate equities outstanding (Fed Z.1, NCBEILQ027S) over nominal GDP, percent. Both inputs official, quarterly since 1947. Trend-dominated: a steadily trending series always prints high-z eventually; the state reads how far along the trend, vs the recent decade. Disclosed.

Where it comes from

DERIVED ↗ Every number on this site is reproducible from this primary source.

What it read at past stress points

Lehman, Sep 2008 92.75 · CALM
Q4-2018 selloff 133.51 ◆ WATCH
Curve inversion, Aug 2019 150.95 ◆ WATCH
COVID crash, Mar 2020 128.76 · CALM

Questions it helps answer

  • The Ledge : How high is the market, and what is under it?