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M5 · THE BUILD-UP OF SYSTEM LEVERAGE FROTH MISSES

NFCI leverage subindex

0.50
STALE ROBUST DRS 95 weekly as of 2026-06-12

This tile is stale: the value shown is the last one the source published, never a fabricated current number.

The full history

1971 high 3.84 · low -2.00 · now 0.50 · 7 recessions shaded 2026

How it is read

What it measures
the build-up of system leverage froth misses
Confidence
ROBUST : a primary official series, mechanically reported.
Reliability (DRS)
DRS 95: The Chicago Fed's leverage component: how much borrowed money stands under asset prices. The altitude tiles read the climb; this reads what is propping it.

Where it comes from

FRED ↗ Every number on this site is reproducible from this primary source.

What it read at past stress points

Lehman, Sep 2008 2.46 ▲ EXTREME
Q4-2018 selloff 0.28 · CALM
Curve inversion, Aug 2019 0.05 · CALM
COVID crash, Mar 2020 0.88 · CALM

Questions it helps answer

  • The Ledge : How high is the market, and what is under it?