This tile is stale: the value shown is the last
one the source published, never a fabricated current number.
The full history
1958
high 12.50 · low -2.52 · now 0.88 · 10 recessions shaded 2026
How it is read
What it measures
core goods prices
Confidence
ROBUST : a primary official series, mechanically reported.
Reliability (DRS)
DRS 95: Computed: 100 × (CUSR0000SACL1E(t) / CUSR0000SACL1E(t−12m) − 1), commodities less food and energy, i.e. goods prices stripped of the two volatile lines. The channel through which tariffs and supply-chain disruption show up; the clearest tariff-transmission signal in monthly CPI data. This series was NEGATIVE for most of 2012–2020 (the goods-deflation era), so decade-relative scoring would produce misleading z-scores; scored against 30 years, which captures the prior regime. BLS-produced; subject to the integrity-events DRS factor.
Where it comes from
DERIVED ↗Every number on this site is reproducible from this primary source.