← All instruments — the full set 1952
high 112.00 · low 49.80 · now 49.80 · 11 recessions shaded 2026
C6 · FELT MOOD
University of Michigan consumer sentiment
49.80
EXTREME ROBUST z -2.57 DRS 95 monthly as of 2026-04-01
Where it sits: lower than ~100% of its full record — near the bottom of its record.
The full history
How it is read
- What it measures
- felt mood
- Where it sits
- lower than ~100% of its full record — near the bottom of its record — at the 0th percentile of its full record.
- z vs. its window
- -2.57 (strain side: down). 672 observations in the window.
- State rule
- z < 1 CALM · 1 ≤ z < 2 WATCH · z ≥ 2 EXTREME, measured only toward the declared strain side.
- Confidence
- ROBUST — a primary official series, mechanically reported.
- Reliability (DRS)
- DRS 95
Where it comes from
FRED ↗ Every number on this site is reproducible from this primary source.
What it read at past stress points
| Lehman, Sep 2008 | 70.30 | ◆ WATCH |
|---|---|---|
| Q4-2018 selloff | 98.30 | · CALM |
| Curve inversion, Aug 2019 | 89.80 | · CALM |
| COVID crash, Mar 2020 | 89.10 | · CALM |
Questions it helps answer
- The Mood — How does it feel out there — and does the feeling match?