← All instruments — the full set
F14 · TROUBLE FINDING NEW WORK

Continued unemployment claims (insured unemployment)

1,777,000
CALM ROBUST z -0.31 DRS 95 weekly as of 2026-05-23

Where it sits: lower than ~67% of its last decade.

The full history

1967 high 19,153,000 · low 992,000 · now 1,777,000 · 8 recessions shaded 2026

How it is read

What it measures
trouble finding new work
Where it sits
lower than ~67% of its last decade — at the 33th percentile of its last decade.
z vs. its window
-0.31 (strain side: up). 520 observations in the window.
State rule
z < 1 CALM · 1 ≤ z < 2 WATCH · z ≥ 2 EXTREME, measured only toward the declared strain side.
Confidence
ROBUST — a primary official series, mechanically reported.
Reliability (DRS)
DRS 95 — The 'hard to find a new job' leg of labor softening — pairs with initial claims (F9).

Where it comes from

FRED ↗ Every number on this site is reproducible from this primary source.

What it read at past stress points

Lehman, Sep 2008 3,493,000 ◆ WATCH
Q4-2018 selloff 1,770,000 · CALM
Curve inversion, Aug 2019 1,604,000 · CALM
COVID crash, Mar 2020 3,238,000 · CALM

Questions it helps answer

  • Work — Is the labor market holding — and how broadly?